Track Record
Most people who tell you what to trade never tell you how their last calls did. We score every directional call the brief makes on a listed stock against the actual price move, and publish the hit rate here — including the misses.
| Date | Ticker | Our call | 5-day move | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TUESDAY 10-06 | SLSN | — neutral | +23.5% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-06 | VYLR | — neutral | +3.5% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-06 | ODYY | — neutral | -12.5% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-06 | CTVA | — neutral | +7.3% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-06 | LDOS | — neutral | +1.8% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-06 | ORCL | — neutral | -3.6% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-06 | TEAD | — neutral | -12.0% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-06 | NRXP | ▲ positive | -0.7% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-06 | UWMC | ▼ negative | -20.9% | ✓ hit |
| MONDAY 10-05 | RR | — neutral | -2.4% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-05 | MANO | — neutral | -10.8% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-05 | RMNI | — neutral | -1.9% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-05 | NEWS | ▲ positive | +0.0% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-05 | JOB | ▼ negative | +0.0% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-05 | PLAG | ▼ negative | +2.9% | ✗ miss |
| FRIDAY 10-02 | SYNA | — neutral | +12.2% | ✗ miss |
| FRIDAY 10-02 | IBT | — neutral | -5.5% | ✗ miss |
| FRIDAY 10-02 | LTRN | — neutral | -17.0% | ✗ miss |
| FRIDAY 10-02 | HMN | — neutral | +2.1% | ✗ miss |
| FRIDAY 10-02 | DIS | ▼ negative | -99.0% | ✓ hit |
| FRIDAY 10-02 | VERI | ▼ negative | -21.9% | ✓ hit |
| FRIDAY 10-02 | GETY | ▼ negative | -40.0% | ✓ hit |
| THURSDAY 10-01 | MFC | — neutral | -2.2% | ✗ miss |
| THURSDAY 10-01 | NTWO | — neutral | -0.0% | ✓ hit |
| THURSDAY 10-01 | HSP | — neutral | -1.9% | ✗ miss |
| THURSDAY 10-01 | HALO | — neutral | +0.4% | ✓ hit |
| THURSDAY 10-01 | HSDT | ▼ negative | -3.1% | ✓ hit |
| THURSDAY 10-01 | EARN | ▼ negative | -5.3% | ✓ hit |
| THURSDAY 10-01 | GPUS | ▼ negative | +0.0% | ✗ miss |
| THURSDAY 10-01 | LESL | ▼ negative | -62.5% | ✓ hit |
| THURSDAY 10-01 | PTPI | ▼ negative | -57.1% | ✓ hit |
| TUESDAY 09-29 | NTHI | — neutral | -7.6% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 09-29 | BMRA | — neutral | -14.2% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 09-29 | USPH | — neutral | -2.5% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 09-29 | KGS | — neutral | +1.6% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 09-29 | ASTS | — neutral | -4.2% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 09-29 | AVXL | — neutral | -30.0% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 09-29 | AZTR | ▼ negative | -19.4% | ✓ hit |
| TUESDAY 09-29 | FFAI | — neutral | -17.0% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 09-22 | SRB | ▲ positive | -7.8% | ✗ miss |
Awaiting grade (20 calls)
These calls haven't been graded yet. Grading runs each weekday morning once a call's 5-trading-day window closes; calls on tickers we can't price stay listed here unscored.
| Date | Ticker | Our call |
|---|---|---|
| TUESDAY 10-13 | DIIN | — neutral |
| TUESDAY 10-13 | BMAK | — neutral |
| TUESDAY 10-13 | DCC | — neutral |
| TUESDAY 10-13 | SDG | — neutral |
| TUESDAY 10-13 | PTSB | ▲ positive |
| TUESDAY 10-13 | BEM | ▼ negative |
| TUESDAY 10-13 | PINE | ▼ negative |
| MONDAY 10-12 | SINT | — neutral |
| MONDAY 10-12 | GTE | — neutral |
| MONDAY 10-12 | DCC | — neutral |
| MONDAY 10-12 | EDV | — neutral |
| MONDAY 10-12 | DPLS | ▼ negative |
| MONDAY 10-12 | QUCY | ▼ negative |
| MONDAY 10-12 | SBFM | ▼ negative |
| MONDAY 10-12 | TCRT | ▼ negative |
| FRIDAY 10-09 | CHAR | — neutral |
| FRIDAY 10-09 | SEGG | — neutral |
| FRIDAY 10-09 | WERN | — neutral |
| FRIDAY 10-09 | OPNW | — neutral |
| FRIDAY 10-09 | DTI | — neutral |
How we score it
- Every brief tags each filing ▲ positive, — neutral, or ▼ negative for likely near-term price impact.
- We measure the last close before we flag it against the close 5 trading days later (Yahoo Finance; UK via .L, EU/Nordic via the exchange suffix we resolve at ingest — e.g. .ST Stockholm, .HE Helsinki, .CO Copenhagen).
- A directional call is a hit if the stock moved its way by more than 1.5%. A neutral call is a hit if the stock stayed within 1.5%.
- No cherry-picking, no transaction costs modelled, no survivorship games. Only calls tied to a listed ticker are graded — Polymarket odds items and stories without a ticker aren't scored, and tickers we can't price are left unscored.
- Polymarket items are odds commentary on macro events, not equity calls — they carry impact labels in the brief but have no single underlying price to grade, so they are excluded from scoring.
Methodology note (July 2026): we corrected the base price from the flag-day close to the last close before publication — the brief sends before markets open, so the old base already contained the market's first reaction. All calls, past and pending, were re-graded uniformly under the corrected rule; nothing was dropped.
Not investment advice. Impact labels are AI estimates — see the full disclaimer. Past performance does not predict future results.
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