Track Record
Most people who tell you what to trade never tell you how their last calls did. We score every directional call the brief makes on a listed stock against the actual price move, and publish the hit rate here — including the misses.
| Date | Ticker | Our call | 5-day move | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MONDAY 10-26 | INSW | — neutral | +1.1% | ✓ hit |
| MONDAY 10-26 | AZIO | ▼ negative | -24.9% | ✓ hit |
| MONDAY 10-26 | WDAY | ▼ negative | -5.8% | ✓ hit |
| MONDAY 10-26 | LASE | ▼ negative | -0.1% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-26 | DFLI | ▼ negative | -20.8% | ✓ hit |
| MONDAY 10-26 | INV | ▼ negative | +0.9% | ✗ miss |
| FRIDAY 10-23 | JANL | — neutral | +0.0% | ✓ hit |
| FRIDAY 10-23 | NHP | — neutral | -5.3% | ✗ miss |
| FRIDAY 10-23 | VAI | — neutral | -11.5% | ✗ miss |
| FRIDAY 10-23 | POOL | — neutral | +3.5% | ✗ miss |
| FRIDAY 10-23 | HFWA | — neutral | +1.4% | ✓ hit |
| FRIDAY 10-23 | AAME | ▼ negative | -28.5% | ✓ hit |
| FRIDAY 10-23 | PAVM | ▼ negative | -3.9% | ✓ hit |
| FRIDAY 10-23 | FPS | ▲ positive | +13.8% | ✓ hit |
| FRIDAY 10-23 | NXT | ▼ negative | +2.8% | ✗ miss |
| THURSDAY 10-22 | OII | — neutral | -5.6% | ✗ miss |
| THURSDAY 10-22 | FC | — neutral | +2.9% | ✗ miss |
| THURSDAY 10-22 | FEIM | — neutral | +5.0% | ✗ miss |
| THURSDAY 10-22 | SLE | ▼ negative | -15.9% | ✓ hit |
| THURSDAY 10-22 | HCSG | ▲ positive | +10.8% | ✓ hit |
| THURSDAY 10-22 | DRCT | ▼ negative | -40.0% | ✓ hit |
| WEDNESDAY 10-21 | SHFS | — neutral | +28.9% | ✗ miss |
| WEDNESDAY 10-21 | EARN | — neutral | +10.5% | ✗ miss |
| WEDNESDAY 10-21 | AEHR | — neutral | +3.2% | ✗ miss |
| WEDNESDAY 10-21 | GKP | ▲ positive | +4.7% | ✓ hit |
| WEDNESDAY 10-21 | NBHC | ▼ negative | +2.5% | ✗ miss |
| WEDNESDAY 10-21 | SEGG | ▼ negative | -4.3% | ✓ hit |
| TUESDAY 10-20 | SXI | — neutral | -9.3% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-20 | BHLL | — neutral | -6.0% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-20 | VENU | — neutral | +15.0% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-20 | YHC | — neutral | +23.2% | ✗ miss |
| TUESDAY 10-20 | GLV | ▼ negative | -6.0% | ✓ hit |
| TUESDAY 10-20 | RKT | ▼ negative | +7.3% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-19 | NRXP | — neutral | -4.2% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-19 | CNDT | — neutral | +28.8% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-19 | CPRT | — neutral | +4.1% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-19 | KMR | — neutral | -4.9% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-19 | HHPD | ▲ positive | -0.3% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-19 | SITC | ▼ negative | +9.0% | ✗ miss |
| MONDAY 10-19 | LUCD | ▼ negative | -14.0% | ✓ hit |
Awaiting grade (20 calls)
These calls haven't been graded yet. Grading runs each weekday morning once a call's 5-trading-day window closes; calls on tickers we can't price stay listed here unscored.
| Date | Ticker | Our call |
|---|---|---|
| MONDAY 11-02 | OPNW | — neutral |
| MONDAY 11-02 | JPMSHE | ▼ negative |
| MONDAY 11-02 | AQSE | ▼ negative |
| MONDAY 11-02 | ACTU | ▼ negative |
| MONDAY 11-02 | TRLS | ▼ negative |
| FRIDAY 10-30 | MRK | — neutral |
| FRIDAY 10-30 | LEU | — neutral |
| FRIDAY 10-30 | DAIC | — neutral |
| FRIDAY 10-30 | GLND | — neutral |
| FRIDAY 10-30 | LAUR | ▲ positive |
| FRIDAY 10-30 | CART | ▲ positive |
| FRIDAY 10-30 | TRAF | ▼ negative |
| FRIDAY 10-30 | GCTK | ▼ negative |
| FRIDAY 10-30 | ALDF | ▼ negative |
| THURSDAY 10-29 | RNAZ | — neutral |
| THURSDAY 10-29 | AXS | — neutral |
| THURSDAY 10-29 | GRDX | — neutral |
| THURSDAY 10-29 | NEOV | — neutral |
| THURSDAY 10-29 | LOTT | — neutral |
| THURSDAY 10-29 | TPCS | — neutral |
How we score it
- Every brief tags each filing ▲ positive, — neutral, or ▼ negative for likely near-term price impact.
- We measure the last close before we flag it against the close 5 trading days later (Yahoo Finance; UK via .L, EU/Nordic via the exchange suffix we resolve at ingest — e.g. .ST Stockholm, .HE Helsinki, .CO Copenhagen).
- A directional call is a hit if the stock moved its way by more than 1.5%. A neutral call is a hit if the stock stayed within 1.5%.
- No cherry-picking, no transaction costs modelled, no survivorship games. Only calls tied to a listed ticker are graded — Polymarket odds items and stories without a ticker aren't scored, and tickers we can't price are left unscored.
- Polymarket items are odds commentary on macro events, not equity calls — they carry impact labels in the brief but have no single underlying price to grade, so they are excluded from scoring.
Methodology note (July 2026): we corrected the base price from the flag-day close to the last close before publication — the brief sends before markets open, so the old base already contained the market's first reaction. All calls, past and pending, were re-graded uniformly under the corrected rule; nothing was dropped.
Not investment advice. Impact labels are AI estimates — see the full disclaimer. Past performance does not predict future results.
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