Track Record
Most people who tell you what to trade never tell you how their last calls did. We score every directional call the brief makes on a listed stock against the actual price move, and publish the hit rate here — including the misses.
The first scored results land once a week of calls matures — about five trading days after a call is made — and we publish them here the moment they do, win or lose. Nothing to hide yet because nothing has been graded yet.
Awaiting grade (20 calls)
These calls haven't been graded yet. Grading runs each weekday morning once a call's 5-trading-day window closes; calls on tickers we can't price stay listed here unscored.
| Date | Ticker | Our call |
|---|---|---|
| THURSDAY 07-02 | LGEN | — neutral |
| THURSDAY 07-02 | NBPE | ▲ positive |
| THURSDAY 07-02 | FNEWS | ▲ positive |
| WEDNESDAY 07-01 | 0QS5 | — neutral |
| WEDNESDAY 07-01 | 0AH7 | ▲ positive |
| WEDNESDAY 07-01 | 0MTP | ▲ positive |
| WEDNESDAY 07-01 | 0QKQ | ▲ positive |
| WEDNESDAY 07-01 | 0AAW | ▲ positive |
| WEDNESDAY 07-01 | 0MH6 | ▲ positive |
| TUESDAY 06-30 | 0UTK | — neutral |
| TUESDAY 06-30 | 0QYM | ▲ positive |
| TUESDAY 06-30 | 0ACB | ▲ positive |
| TUESDAY 06-30 | 0AC3 | ▲ positive |
| MONDAY 06-29 | FNEWS | — neutral |
| MONDAY 06-29 | 0ABD | — neutral |
| MONDAY 06-29 | 0AA3 | ▲ positive |
| THURSDAY 06-25 | FNEWS | ▲ positive |
| THURSDAY 06-25 | TKO | — neutral |
| WEDNESDAY 06-24 | AWEM | — neutral |
| WEDNESDAY 06-24 | AXB | ▲ positive |
How we score it
- Every brief tags each filing ▲ positive, — neutral, or ▼ negative for likely near-term price impact.
- We measure the last close before we flag it against the close 5 trading days later (Yahoo Finance; UK via .L, EU/Nordic via the exchange suffix we resolve at ingest — e.g. .ST Stockholm, .HE Helsinki, .CO Copenhagen).
- A directional call is a hit if the stock moved its way by more than 1.5%. A neutral call is a hit if the stock stayed within 1.5%.
- No cherry-picking, no transaction costs modelled, no survivorship games. Only calls tied to a listed ticker are graded — Polymarket odds items and stories without a ticker aren't scored, and tickers we can't price are left unscored.
- Polymarket items are odds commentary on macro events, not equity calls — they carry impact labels in the brief but have no single underlying price to grade, so they are excluded from scoring.
Methodology note (July 2026): we corrected the base price from the flag-day close to the last close before publication — the brief sends before markets open, so the old base already contained the market's first reaction. All calls, past and pending, were re-graded uniformly under the corrected rule; nothing was dropped.
Not investment advice. Impact labels are AI estimates — see the full disclaimer. Past performance does not predict future results.
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